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Sectoral Growth Factor: Its Impact and the Role of CORSIA-Eligible Fuels and Emissions Units in Claims and Reporting

Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation (CORSIA)

Introduction 

CORSIA, adopted in 2016, sets a global system to monitor, report, verify, and offset international aviation emissions above 2019 baseline emissions levels. Now in its first phase, aeroplane operators may face offsetting obligations for the first time. The 2024 Sectoral Growth Factor (SGF), to be released in October 2025, is expected to be positive. States will inform each operator of its offsetting requirements by 30 November of the following year (e.g., 2024 obligations in 2025, 2025 in 2026, and so on). On 30 November 2027, States will also inform operators of the requirement for 2026 as well as the final obligation for the 2024–2026 compliance cycle. 

Operators can purchase and cancel eligible emissions units at any point during the compliance cycle but must ensure that all final obligations are met by 31 January 2028, or within 60 days of notification. These obligations can be reduced through the use of CORSIA Eligible Fuels (CEFs), provided claims are fully documented. 

1. Sectoral Growth Factor (SGF) and its impact 

The Sectoral Growth Factor (SGF) is one of the cornerstones of CORSIA. It represents the rate of growth of international aviation CO₂ emissions above the 2019 baseline and is applied uniformly across all participating operators. 

Formula: 

Where:

SEy = Total sectoral CO₂ emissions for State pairs subject to offsetting requirements in the given year y  

SEB,y = 85 per cent of total annual sectoral CO₂ emissions for State pairs subject to offsetting requirements in 2019 in the given year y.  

Application

Each operator’s offsetting requirement = Operator’s offsetting emissions × SGF. 

Purpose:

The SGF ensures that offsetting obligations are linked to collective sector growth, promoting fairness and competitive neutrality. By applying the same growth factor to all operators, CORSIA avoids penalising individual airlines for traffic patterns, market share, or regional differences in growth. 

Allocation Approach 

  • 2024–2032: Obligations are entirely sectoral, 100% based on the sectoral component. 
  • From 2033: Obligations are blended, 85% sectoral and 15% individual growth, introducing stronger accountability for each operator’s own performance while maintaining a level playing field. 

Impact of 2024 SGF 

The 2024 SGF will be published in October 2025, and based on traffic projections, it is anticipated to be positive, indicating that overall sector emissions have surpassed the 2019 baseline emissions levels. This outcome carries direct impact: 

  • A positive SGF creates an offsetting requirement for every operator attributed to a participating State. 
  • While operators can make provisional calculations once the SGF is released, the final official obligation will be communicated by their State by 30 November 2025. 
  • Operators must then purchase and cancel CORSIA Eligible Emissions Units (EEUs) equal to that obligation by 31 January 2028 for the first phase (2024–2026). 

The SGF thus acts as the trigger mechanism in CORSIA, transforming sector-level emissions data into enforceable offsetting obligations for individual operators. 

Publication 

The official CORSIA Annual Sector’s Growth Factor (SGF) document will be published on the ICAO CORSIA website under the CORSIA Central Registry (CCR), ensuring transparency and equal access to the data for all stakeholders. 

2. CORSIA Eligible Fuels (CEFs) 

CORSIA Eligible Fuels (CEFs) are aviation fuels that deliver lifecycle GHG reductions compared to fossil jet fuel and comply with ICAO’s sustainability requirements. They can be used to reduce the total offsetting obligation of an operator for a compliance cycle, and include Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAFs) and Lower Carbon Aviation Fuels (LCAFs). 

SAFs under CORSIA:

Produced from renewable feedstocks such as waste oils, agricultural residues, or advanced bio-materials, SAFs must: 

  • Deliver at least 10% lifecycle GHG savings vs. fossil jet fuel. 

LCAFs under CORSIA:

Unlike SAFs, LCAFs are derived from fossil sources but deliver lower lifecycle emissions due to improved production methods, carbon capture, or cleaner hydrogen use in refining. LCAFs are recognised as CORSIA Eligible Fuels when they meet ICAO lifecycle and sustainability requirements. 

Claiming CEFs:

To reduce offsetting obligations, operators must provide: 

  • Supporting evidence, such as:
    • Proof of Sustainability (PoS) or Proof of Compliance (PoC).
    Product Transfer Document (PTD).
    Proof of Purchase.
    Statement of Calculated Blended Percentage (if fuel is blended).
    Declaration of no double-claiming. 

Verification ensures claims are robust and prevent double-counting, strengthening transparency and credibility. 

3. Eligible Emissions Units (EEUs) 

When reductions from CEFs and operational measures are not enough to cover offsetting requirements, operators turn to Eligible Emissions Units (EEUs). 

  • Definition: Carbon credits approved for CORSIA use by the ICAO Council, based on recommendations from the Technical Advisory Body (TAB). 
  • Core Safeguards: Units must be real, additional, permanent, verified, and not double-counted. 

Emissions Unit Eligibility Criteria 

The approval of EEUs is grounded in the CORSIA Emissions Unit Eligibility Criteria. These criteria ensure both environmental and social integrity and consist of two key layers: 

  1. Programme Design Elements Criteria – covering governance, transparency, registry systems, and safeguards against double-issuance or double-use. 
  2. Carbon Offset Credit Integrity Assessment Criteria – ensuring the credits represent genuine, additional, permanent emission reductions with no leakage. 

TAB undertakes assessments at the programme level, and only those programmes that meet the criteria are recommended to the Council for approval. Emissions Unit Programmes are approved by the ICAO Council to supply CORSIA Eligible Emissions Units. While several programmes were approved in the Pilot Phase, not all continue into the First Phase (2024–2026). Operators must therefore ensure that units are sourced only from ICAO-approved programmes for the relevant compliance period.  

Meeting Offsetting Requirements (OR) 

Under CORSIA, each aeroplane operator must meet its offsetting requirement (as calculated and formally communicated by its State) by cancelling a quantity of CORSIA Eligible Emissions Units equal to its final obligation for that compliance period. 

  • Timing: Aeroplane Operators will be notified of their offsetting obligations by 30 November 2025 (for 2024 emissions).
  • Exemption threshold: If the sum of an aeroplane operator’s offsetting requirements (OR) over the three years of a compliance cycle (OR1,C + OR2,C + OR3,C) is less than 3,000 tonnes of CO₂, then the operator has no offsetting obligation for that compliance period. 

EUCR (Emissions Unit Cancellation Report): After cancellation, operators must prepare and submit an EUCR. 

  • EUCR verification can be performed annually to ease reporting workload or at the end of the cycle. 
  • The final deadline for verified EUCR submission (with the verification report) to States is 30 April 2028 for the first phase. 

This process ensures that operators’ obligations are not only fulfilled but also independently verified, maintaining the integrity and credibility of the scheme. 

 4. Verification 

While the SGF, CEFs, and EEUs form CORSIA’s technical foundations, its credibility relies on independent verification. 

As a trusted third-party verifier, Normec Verifavia ensures: 

  • Accuracy of operator emissions reports. 
  • Completeness of CEF claim documentation. 
  • Verification of EEU cancellations and EUCRs. 

This independent oversight gives regulators, customers, and investors confidence in operators’ compliance. 

Conclusion 

The 2024 Sectoral Growth Factor (SGF), due in October 2025, is expected to be positive, triggering offsetting obligations under CORSIA. States will confirm these by 30 November 2025, with operators required to purchase and cancel Emissions Units within the compliance period, or by its close, supported by verified EUCRs. Obligations can be reduced through CORSIA Eligible Fuels, provided claims are fully documented and verified. At Normec Verifavia, we ensure operators not only meet compliance requirements but also showcase real progress on aviation’s journey to net zero. 

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